Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.638791 0.796703 0.965572 1.157734 1.368621 1.591489 1.843356
2025-02-23 0.408648 0.620877 0.869094 1.171772 1.523137 1.911688 2.367871
2025-03-02 0.261179 0.481462 0.760737 1.120471 1.555296 2.050919 2.646941
2025-03-09 0.155081 0.365595 0.658644 1.057921 1.559305 2.146390 2.866960
2025-03-16 0.092321 0.289483 0.591926 1.025669 1.588168 2.261194 3.100384
2025-03-23 0.061469 0.253356 0.573150 1.049990 1.682761 2.451161 3.419411
2025-03-30 0.035754 0.214207 0.542644 1.053206 1.746682 2.601104 3.688670
2025-04-06 0.015623 0.171382 0.498252 1.031402 1.774111 2.703247 3.898248
2025-04-13 0.008997 0.159696 0.503318 1.079085 1.892050 2.917153 4.242577
2025-04-20 0.004567 0.149584 0.509132 1.126716 2.009268 3.129850 4.585385
2025-04-27 0.002100 0.143325 0.520724 1.182347 2.136970 3.355698 4.944399
2025-05-04 0.001408 0.148063 0.553507 1.270552 2.309335 3.638531 5.373813
2025-05-11 0.000205 0.139970 0.562734 1.326936 2.445063 3.883710 5.768627
2025-05-18 NaN 0.121291 0.547793 1.345105 2.528976 4.064556 6.086936
2025-05-25 NaN 0.086800 0.489594 1.289023 2.505797 4.105060 6.229016
2025-06-01 NaN 0.056507 0.428564 1.221762 2.462560 4.116594 6.332639
2025-06-08 NaN 0.038252 0.389478 1.186856 2.462247 4.181390 6.500331
2025-06-15 NaN 0.032217 0.385533 1.213154 2.550885 4.363334 6.815717
2025-06-22 NaN 0.024073 0.369866 1.216624 2.604955 4.498924 7.072157
2025-06-29 NaN 0.014685 0.341113 1.193067 2.617162 4.577684 7.255722
2025-07-06 NaN 0.013799 0.351599 1.244564 2.742766 4.808869 7.633988
2025-07-13 NaN 0.012971 0.362015 1.295928 2.868280 5.040122 8.012617
2025-07-20 NaN 0.012905 0.376725 1.355827 3.006972 5.289379 8.414584